Public beta. The 36 founding entries are AI-generated drafts that will be replaced with human-edited versions. Entries, features, and design are still changing. User-added content could be affected by breaking changes. What to expect
AI Futures LibraryPossible futures, examined step by step
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A curated library

How could AI
change the world?

Scenarios and threat models, laid out step by step.
Inspect their premises. Judge the case for yourself.

01 — ∞

No single future is settled.
Start with the mechanism:
how we might get there.

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2 scenarios

The founding collection · 36 AI-generated drafts synthesized from the literature. Human-edited, source-checked versions are next.

0
Book·2024AI-generated draftSource unchecked

The Singularity Is Nearer

Ray Kurzweil

The price-performance of computation keeps doubling roughly every sixteen months, so AI matches the best humans in every field by 2029; in the 2030s AI-driven medicine reaches longevity escape velocity, medical nanorobots maintain the body, and nanoscale interfaces connect the neocortex to the cloud while automation drives prices down and universal basic income absorbs displaced work; by 2045 merged human and machine intelligence has expanded a millionfold, with risks managed by principles, broad distribution, and the merger itself.

+6
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Turning point: 2029–2045Original source
0
Novella (web serial)·2003AI-generated draftSource unchecked

Manna: Two Visions of Humanity’s Future

Marshall Brain

Management software that speaks each task into a worker’s headset spreads from one fast-food chain to half of America’s jobs, pins wages at the minimum through shared blacklists, and once a cheap vision chip arrives directs robots instead of people; the displaced are warehoused in robot-run terrafoam dormitories while the owners keep everything, until the narrator’s inherited share in a billion-shareholder corporation carries him to the Australia Project, where robots make everything free, everyone gets a thousand credits a week, and a spinal implant both frees and polices its citizens.

+5
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Turning point: 2010–2050Original source
A starting point, not the last word.

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