Public beta. The 36 founding entries are AI-generated drafts that will be replaced with human-edited versions. Entries, features, and design are still changing. User-added content could be affected by breaking changes. What to expect

A curated library

How could AI
change the world?

Scenarios and threat models, laid out step by step.
Inspect their premises. Judge the case for yourself.

01 — ∞

No single future is settled.
Start with the mechanism:
how we might get there.

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1 scenario

The founding collection · 36 AI-generated drafts synthesized from the literature. Human-edited, source-checked versions are next.

0
Essay·2025AI-generated draftSource unchecked

AI as Normal Technology

Advanced AI arrives, but its impact is gated by adoption and diffusion rather than by capability: safety-critical domains, organizational change, regulation, and the cost of real-world experiment stretch the transformation over decades, humans keep control because poorly controlled AI does not pay and move into specifying and supervising it, the serious risks are misuse and systemic harms from people using AI rather than a runaway agent, and the fitting response is resilience rather than nonproliferation.

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Turning point: Relative / conditionalOriginal source
A starting point, not the last word.

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