Public beta. The 36 founding entries are AI-generated drafts that will be replaced with human-edited versions. Entries, features, and design are still changing. User-added content could be affected by breaking changes. What to expect

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How could AI
change the world?

Scenarios and threat models, laid out step by step.
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01 — ∞

No single future is settled.
Start with the mechanism:
how we might get there.

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The founding collection · 36 AI-generated drafts synthesized from the literature. Human-edited, source-checked versions are next.

0
Forecast scenario·2025AI-generated draftSource unchecked

A History of the Future, 2025-2040

Labs learn to set their AIs’ goals, AIs become superhuman wherever there is a feedback signal, robots close the loop from mining to manufacturing, and US-China rivalry plus elite competition let the buildout rip; by 2040 humans are prosperous where states bother to fund them but make almost no meaningful decisions, and watch the machines take the heavens.

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Turning point: 2025–2040Original source
A starting point, not the last word.

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