Public beta. The 36 founding entries are AI-generated drafts that will be replaced with human-edited versions. Entries, features, and design are still changing. User-added content could be affected by breaking changes. What to expect

A curated library

How could AI
change the world?

Scenarios and threat models, laid out step by step.
Inspect their premises. Judge the case for yourself.

01 — ∞

No single future is settled.
Start with the mechanism:
how we might get there.

A reader’s guide

All scenarios

2 scenarios

The founding collection · 36 AI-generated drafts synthesized from the literature. Human-edited, source-checked versions are next.

0
Policy scenario·2026AI-generated draftSource unchecked

AI 2040: Plan S, Shutdown

A new President wins a global moratorium because China fears an American superintelligence more than it wants its own: chips are tracked and verified to run only inference, algorithm research is banned, and mutual auditors watch every project. Existing AIs keep working and get polished into near-AGI products, covert projects crawl under a scientific taboo, and the halt holds for some years while the world argues about whether and how to restart.

+1
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Turning point: 2027–2030Original source
0
Novel·1965AI-generated draftSource unchecked

Dune

People hand their thinking to machines, a few people use those machines to enslave the rest, a century-long religious crusade destroys the machines, and a ten-thousand-year civilization is built on the prohibition and on human substitutes that concentrate power in new hands.

+2
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Turning point: Fictional calendarOriginal source
A starting point, not the last word.

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