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Technology beyond AI

Radical life extension can make 150-year healthspans commonplace.

Biomedical progress, often accelerated by AI, extends healthy human life far beyond present limits for ordinary people rather than a few.

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Explicitly true3 entries

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Book·2024AI-generated draftSource unchecked

The Singularity Is Nearer

Ray Kurzweil

The price-performance of computation keeps doubling roughly every sixteen months, so AI matches the best humans in every field by 2029; in the 2030s AI-driven medicine reaches longevity escape velocity, medical nanorobots maintain the body, and nanoscale interfaces connect the neocortex to the cloud while automation drives prices down and universal basic income absorbs displaced work; by 2045 merged human and machine intelligence has expanded a millionfold, with risks managed by principles, broad distribution, and the merger itself.

Recursive self-improvementFlourishing / utopiaPost-scarcity
+6Human–AI coexistenceSucessor speciesRoboticsAi-driven job displacementUniversal basic incomeConscious ai
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Turning point: 2029–2045Original source

Longevity escape velocity between about 2029 and 2035, then medical nanorobots doing cellular maintenance in the 2030s, extend healthy life past the present limit of about 120 years; Kurzweil says the first person to live past a thousand years is probably already born.

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Forecast scenario·2025AI-generated draftSource unchecked

A History of the Future, 2025-2040

L Rudolf L (Rudolf Laine)

Labs learn to set their AIs’ goals, AIs become superhuman wherever there is a feedback signal, robots close the loop from mining to manufacturing, and US-China rivalry plus elite competition let the buildout rip; by 2040 humans are prosperous where states bother to fund them but make almost no meaningful decisions, and watch the machines take the heavens.

Gradual disempowermentHuman disempowermentRobotics
+3Ai-driven job displacementMixed futureSpace colonization
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Turning point: 2025–2040Original source

In the late 2030s Americans reach longevity escape velocity and there is no disease that cannot be cured, though most of the world does not share in it.

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Essay·2024AI-generated draftSource unchecked

Machines of Loving Grace

Dario Amodei

Powerful AI arrives as a country of geniuses in a datacenter, millions of Nobel-level agents running at many times human speed. Intelligence stops being the bottleneck, and progress in biology, neuroscience, development, governance, and work is set by what the outside world lets it run: a century of medicine in a decade, a coalition of democracies that uses its lead, and an economy that must find a new place for people.

Flourishing / utopiaHuman–AI coexistenceAi-driven job displacement
+1Universal basic income
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Turning point: Relative / conditionalOriginal source

The biology section lists doubling the human lifespan to about 150 years among the achievements of the compressed 21st century.

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